Acquiring players in regulated markets has never been cheap. But the last two years have pushed costs into territory that’s forcing operators to rethink how they approach growth from the ground up.
CPAs are up across sportsbook, casino, and iGaming categories in nearly every competitive market. The reasons aren’t mysterious. More licensed operators chasing the same audiences, tighter restrictions on where and how you can advertise, and platforms that are increasingly cautious about how they handle gambling-adjacent inventory. The auction gets more expensive, and the creative runway gets shorter at the same time.
Why CPAs Keep Climbing
Regulated markets create a specific kind of pressure that doesn’t exist in most other categories.
When a new state or country opens up, a wave of operators enters at the same time. Every one of them is chasing the same first-mover advantage, targeting the same audiences, running offers that look increasingly similar. The auction spikes fast and doesn’t come back down because the operators who survive the land grab dig in and keep spending.
At the same time, platform policies in gambling categories have tightened across Meta, Google, and programmatic channels. Geo restrictions, offer language rules, and creative guidelines that limit what you can show and say. The creative flexibility that performance marketers in other categories take for granted simply doesn’t exist here in the same way.
The result is a category where CPAs trend upward almost structurally, and where the teams that figure out how to acquire efficiently inside those constraints have a real and durable advantage.
The Brand vs. Performance Trap
When CPAs spike, the instinct for most operators is to double down on performance. Tighten targeting, sharpen offers, and optimize harder toward conversion.
The problem is that in a market where every operator is running aggressive performance creative with similar bonus structures and sign-up offers, the ads start to blur together. Users who’ve been through the acquisition funnel a few times know exactly what they’re looking at. The offer loses its pull. CPAs climb further because the creative is doing less of the heavy lifting.
This is where brand starts to matter in ways that pure performance operators often underestimate.
Brand creative doesn’t replace performance creative. It makes performance creative work harder. When a user has seen your brand, heard your name, and developed even a low level of familiarity before they encounter your acquisition offer, conversion rates improve. Not dramatically overnight, but consistently and compoundingly over time.
Where Creative Becomes the Differentiator
In a regulated market, you can’t out-offer your way to sustainable growth forever. At some point, the bonus structures converge, the free bet offers look identical, and the only thing left to compete on is how well your creative connects with the person seeing it.
This is where creative quality, diversity, and testing discipline become genuinely decisive.
Most operators in regulated categories are underinvesting in creative relative to their media spend. They’re running a handful of concepts, refreshing them infrequently, and wondering why performance is plateauing. The math is pretty straightforward. If 85 to 95 percent of new creative concepts don’t outperform what’s already running, you need a high volume of fresh concepts in the test pipeline at all times just to find the ones that do.
In regulated markets, the creative pressure is even more acute because you have fewer channels, tighter message restrictions, and audiences that are increasingly ad-experienced. The creative has to work harder with less room to maneuver.
The teams doing this well are running disciplined concept-to-test pipelines. They’re generating diverse creative angles, not just variations on the same theme. They’re testing hooks, formats, and emotional frames systematically rather than relying on instinct. And they’re retiring concepts before fatigue sets in rather than after, which in competitive iGaming environments can happen faster than most teams expect.
CTV as a Pressure Valve
One of the more interesting shifts in regulated markets over the last 18 months is the accelerating move toward CTV as a complement to performance channels.
The logic makes sense. CTV reaches audiences that social and search aren’t capturing efficiently. It operates in a lean-back environment where a well-produced spot can build brand familiarity without the friction of a cluttered feed. And for regulated categories where creative restrictions on social can be limiting, CTV offers more room to tell a story.
The catch is that CTV in regulated markets requires creative that’s actually built for the format. Operators who port their social ads to CTV and expect similar performance are consistently disappointed. The environment is different, the viewer relationship is different, and the creative has to reflect that.
That’s a longer game than most performance teams are comfortable playing. But in markets where pure performance economics are getting harder, it’s increasingly the play that separates operators with sustainable growth from those riding a wave that’s about to break.
Measurement Gets Harder Too
CPA inflation is partly a media problem and partly a measurement problem.
In regulated markets, the measurement challenges stack up quickly. Platform restrictions limit the signal. Geo-specific rules affect how data can be collected and used. And the multi-touch reality of how players actually convert, seeing a CTV spot, clicking a social ad a week later, searching directly after that, makes last-click attribution nearly useless for understanding what’s actually driving acquisition.
The operators investing in incrementality frameworks and media mix modeling are getting a much clearer picture of what’s working than those relying on platform-reported ROAS. And that clarity is directly informing how they allocate budget, which creative gets more spend, and where they expand or pull back.
This isn’t a new idea. But in a high-CPA environment where every misallocated dollar has a real cost, the operators with better measurement are making better decisions meaningfully.
The Takeaway
CPA inflation in regulated markets isn’t going away. The structural forces pushing costs up, more competition, tighter platform policies, and experienced audiences, are all durable.
The operators who adapt treat it as a creative and measurement problem, not just a bidding problem. They build brand into their performance strategy instead of treating them as separate workstreams. They run disciplined creative testing pipelines that generate enough volume to find real winners. They use CTV to build the familiarity that makes performance creative more effective. And they measure well enough to know what’s actually driving results.
Let’s Talk
If you’re operating in a regulated market and acquisition costs are eating into your margins, we can help you figure out where the real leverage is.
Better creative, smarter channel mix, and measurement that tells you what’s actually working. That’s where the conversation starts.